59 999 999 Rank in State, Class, District |
710 468 Strength Momentum |
610 30.9(67) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/27/15 | at Desert Academy ?? | 0.002 | 627 | L 1- 7 | Worse (-7) | 374 | 59% | |
09/23/15 | at Robertson ? | 0.071 | 993 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 504 | 18% | |
09/30/15 | Questa | 0.403 | 592 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 642 | 67% | |
10/03/15 | at Gallup ! | 0.376 | 570 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 800 | 66% | |
10/13/15 | at Robertson | 0.690 | 993 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 711 | 18% | |
10/15/15 | at Questa !! | 0.841 | 592 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 711 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Tierra Encantada actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 610, while
Tierra Encantada's "weighted playing strength" is 707
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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